Telecommunications

Ethio Telecom Lists as Ethiopia Opens Markets

Safaricom Ethiopia’s entry into the market reshaped competition, forcing rapid upgrades in pricing, infrastructure, and service delivery. Yet Ethio Telecom still maintains overwhelming scale with tens of millions of subscribers and dominant national reach.

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The Ethiopian Securities Exchange is positioning itself as a new financial gateway for the region, with banks and state firms lining up for listings. Ethio Telecom’s IPO now stands as the benchmark test for future market confidence and foreign investor interest.

Ethio Telecom has listed on the Ethiopian Securities Exchange after a partial IPO, marking a major shift in Ethiopia’s telecom and capital markets reforms.

🧠 Investor Intelligence Brief: Ethio Telecom’s Listing Signals Ethiopia’s State Capitalism Reset

The listing of Ethio Telecom on the newly established Ethiopian Securities Exchange marks far more than the debut of a telecom stock.

It represents the first large-scale attempt by the Ethiopian state to transition a strategic monopoly asset into a partially market-driven public company while maintaining sovereign control.

For regional investors, the May 26 listing is also an early test of whether Ethiopia’s long-delayed capital markets liberalisation can attract meaningful domestic participation and eventually foreign institutional capital.

👉 according to the Ethiopian Securities Exchange framework


📊 THE IPO UNDERPERFORMED — BUT THE STRATEGIC SIGNAL MATTERS MORE

The state initially offered:

  • 100 million shares
  • at 300 birr each
  • targeting 30 billion birr (US$220 million+)

However, only 10.7 million shares were sold, raising approximately:

  • 3.2 billion birr
  • equivalent to roughly US$23 million

That means the IPO achieved barely over 10% of its fundraising target.

Ordinarily, such an outcome would be viewed as a weak market debut.

Yet Ethiopia’s case is different.

This was effectively:

  • the country’s first large-scale public telecom offering,
  • one of the first major equity market transactions under the ESX era,
  • and a test of domestic investor confidence inside a tightly controlled economy transitioning toward partial liberalisation.

ESX CEO Tilahun Esmael Kassahun described the listing as:

“an important precedent for transparency, public participation, and long-term value creation.”

👉 according to the Ethiopian Securities Exchange


🏦 ETHIO TELECOM IS NO LONGER JUST A STATE MONOPOLY

The listing formalises a transition that began in June 2024 when Ethio Telecom converted from a traditional state monopoly into a public share company.

For decades, the telecom operator functioned as one of Ethiopia’s most powerful state-owned enterprises, controlling:

  • fixed-line infrastructure,
  • mobile connectivity,
  • international telecom gateways,
  • and digital financial rails.

However, that model began changing after Ethiopia initiated telecom-sector reforms aimed at:

  • attracting foreign investment,
  • modernising digital infrastructure,
  • and increasing competition.

The most important catalyst came in 2022, when Safaricom Ethiopia entered the market after a consortium led by Safaricom PLC spent approximately:

  • US$850 million
    to secure Ethiopia’s first private telecom licence.

That move effectively broke an eight-decade monopoly.


📉 SAFARICOM FORCED A STRATEGIC RESET

The entry of Safaricom Ethiopia fundamentally changed Ethio Telecom’s operating behavior.

Following competition pressure:

  • mobile data tariffs were cut by roughly 70%,
  • 4G and 5G rollout accelerated,
  • and customer acquisition strategies became more aggressive.

This matters because Ethio Telecom historically operated without meaningful pricing pressure.

Competition forced operational modernisation.

Yet despite Safaricom Ethiopia’s rapid growth:

  • service revenue rose 86.6% to KES14.1 billion (US$109 million),
  • subscribers reached 13.6 million,
  • coverage expanded to 60% of Ethiopia’s population across 3,504 sites,

the operator remains significantly smaller than Ethio Telecom.


📈 ETHIO TELECOM’S SCALE REMAINS OVERWHELMING

In the fiscal year ended June 2025, Ethio Telecom reported:

  • revenue of 162 billion birr (US$1.18 billion+),
  • up 72.9% year-on-year,
  • with EBITDA reaching 76 billion birr (US$555 million+).

In the first half of FY2025/26:

  • revenue rose another 37% to 85.02 billion birr,
  • net profit reached 42.36 billion birr,
  • gross margin stood at 49.8%.

Subscribers reached:

  • 87.1 million users.

That scale advantage is enormous.

Safaricom Ethiopia may be growing faster percentage-wise, but Ethio Telecom still controls:

  • the deeper infrastructure network,
  • larger subscriber base,
  • stronger cash flows,
  • and entrenched national distribution reach.

🧭 THE BIGGER STORY: ETHIOPIA IS BUILDING A CAPITAL MARKET FROM SCRATCH

The Ethio Telecom listing is also strategically important for the Ethiopian Securities Exchange itself.

The ESX launched in January 2025 and previously hosted:

  • Wegagen Bank
  • Gadaa Bank
  • Awash Bank

all of which entered through listing-by-introduction structures rather than public IPOs.

Ethio Telecom, therefore,becomes:

  • the exchange’s first major IPO,
  • first state enterprise listing,
  • and first non-financial equity.

More banks are now moving toward listing preparation, including:

  • Dashen Bank
  • Bank of Abyssinia

with others reportedly at advanced regulatory stages.

The ESX is targeting:

  • nine listings before July 2026.

⚠️ THE RISKS GLOBAL INVESTORS WILL WATCH

Despite the symbolism, several structural concerns remain.

🔴 Limited IPO participation

The offering was heavily undersubscribed.

That raises questions about:

  • domestic liquidity depth,
  • investor education,
  • and trust in long-term equity ownership.

🔴 Currency convertibility constraints

Ethiopia’s FX market remains tightly managed.

That creates uncertainty for:

  • dividend repatriation,
  • foreign investor participation,
  • and valuation modelling.

🔴 State influence risk

The government remains the dominant shareholder.

Investors will monitor whether:

  • pricing decisions,
  • capital allocation,
  • and strategic priorities

remain commercially driven or politically influenced.


📌 INTELLIGENCE TAKEAWAY

Ethio Telecom’s listing is not primarily about the amount of money raised.

It is about institutional transition.

The company is moving:

  • from monopoly to competitive operator,
  • from state utility to partially market-priced entity,
  • and from closed governance toward public accountability.

At the same time, Ethiopia itself is attempting something larger:
the construction of a domestic capital market ecosystem capable of funding economic expansion without relying entirely on sovereign borrowing and state banking channels.

The IPO may have underperformed financially.

But strategically, it may become one of the most consequential listings in modern Ethiopian economic history.

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