Burundi’s President warns Rwanda of retaliation over M23-linked tensions in DRC, fueling fears of regional war in East Africa
BUGABIRA, BURUNDI — Burundian President Évariste Ndayishimiye has openly warned Rwanda that any provocation or attack will be met with force, escalating tensions in the already fragile Great Lakes region.
A Threat Amid Growing Instability
During a fiery speech in Bugabira on February 11, 2025, President Ndayishimiye labelled Rwanda a “bad neighbour” and urged Burundians to prepare for potential aggression.
“We have been patient long enough. If attacked, we will not hesitate to respond,” he said.
His comments came as the M23 rebel group, reportedly backed by Rwanda, continues its offensive in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC).
M23 Rebels and the DRC Conflict
The ongoing conflict in eastern DRC has intensified, with M23 rebels capturing major cities including Goma and Bukavu. These offensives have alarmed regional governments, particularly Burundi, which shares a vulnerable border with eastern Congo.
Over 6 million people have been displaced by fighting, according to the United Nations, making it one of the worst humanitarian crises in Africa.
Rwanda’s Alleged Role in Regional Unrest
Kigali has repeatedly denied accusations that it supports M23, but multiple UN reports and intelligence from regional governments claim otherwise. Rwanda is believed to be offering logistical, military, and financial support to the rebel movement, possibly in a bid to gain leverage over Congo’s mineral-rich east.
Could This Lead to Regional Conflict?
Ndayishimiye’s statement marks a shift from diplomacy to deterrence. With growing animosity between Bujumbura and Kigali, observers fear the crisis may soon involve other East African Community (EAC) states.
What’s Next for Regional Stability?
The African Union and United Nations continue to call for dialogue, but skepticism remains. If the DRC conflict expands further, the region could spiral into a multi-nation confrontation.
For now, Burundi’s warning is a clear signal: further provocations may not go unanswered.
