Banking & Finance
African Nations Deserve Climate Funding, Not Debt, Says Economist
The United Nations Development Programme estimates Africa needs about US$2.8 trillion by 2030 for climate mitigation, despite contributing only 4% of global greenhouse gas emissions. However, the continent’s urgent need is for adaptation funding, as climate change is already impacting lives. In 2022, only half of the climate finance Africa received—US$4.6 billion—was allocated to adaptation, with the rest directed towards mitigation or a mix, reflecting the global north’s priorities.
: As COP29 kicks off on November 11, African nations face increasing pressure to tackle climate adaptation, but their reliance on loans instead of grants is deepening the debt crisis.
By Prof Carols Lopes
As we approach the global annual climate change conference, COP29, the need for increased public finance from the global north to address climate adaptation in Africa has become more urgent than ever.
However, framing the finance debate solely around this need risks deepening mistrust and downplaying the scale of the challenge. The financial burden of addressing climate change, coupled with limited fiscal space, creates a precarious situation for many African countries. African countries bear no historical responsibility for causing the climate crisis. However, they rely heavily on external financing to solve climate change problems.
Unfortunately, much external climate finance comes from loans rather than grants. This only worsens Africa’s debt burden. There is also not nearly enough money being channelled to Africa to pay for climate change adaptation.
At COP29, African negotiators will undoubtedly focus on reducing dependence on debt, and improving access to finance. I’m an economist who specialises in climate change and governance, with a long background at the United Nations and the African Union. Without robust commitments from public financial institutions, Africa will continue to face the dual crises of climate vulnerability and debt.
African countries must use COP29 to tackle systemic biases that inflate risk perceptions, minimise African achievements and inflate its problems. These biases drive up borrowing costs, and worsen commodity dependence.
THE CLIMATE FINANCE GAP
The African Development Bank has estimated that Africa needs between US$1.3 trillion and US$1.6 trillion in total climate financing every year between 2020 and 2030. This will enable African countries to meet their commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, known as nationally determined contributions.
The Global Center for Adaptation estimates that Africa requires at least US$52.7 billion annually for adaptation every year until 2035. However, this figure could rise to US$106 billion. This is because data gaps allow for double counting of financial contributions. There is also very little transparency about the real amounts of climate finance being disbursed. Because nationally determined contributions are focused on mitigation, carbon depletion tends to be measured without accurate calculations of the amount of emissions that are captured, or carbon that is conserved.
The United Nations Development Programme says that Africa’s nationally determined contributions mean the continent needs about US$2.8 trillion by 2030 for climate mitigation. However, Africa contributes only 4% of all greenhouse gas emissions currently. It needs funds for adaptation to adjust to climate change that is already changing the lives of many, rather than for mitigation.
But only about half of the climate finance received by Africa in 2022 was for adaptation (US$4.6 billion). The rest of the climate finance addressed mitigation or a mix of both, in line with the global north’s agenda.
Worse still, 64.5% of adaptation financing came from loans, which need to be repaid. This will increase the financial strain on African nations.
LOANS VERSUS GRANTS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTION
Multilateral financial institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development through their Development Assistance Committee, handed out US$8.33 billion to Africa in 2022 for climate action. But most of this – US$5.4 billion – was loans. Only US$2.9 billion was grants, with a small fraction in equity investments.
These loans come with lower-than-market rates or extended repayment terms. But they still add to Africa’s external debt, which reached US$1.12 trillion in 2022. African countries’ debt repayments are twice what they get as climate finance.
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change says developed countries are responsible for financing climate adaptation in vulnerable regions. But loans that create a huge debt burden only enrich global financial institutions at the expense of African countries.
The effects of climate change are causing unprecedented floods, drought and other disasters across Africa. Yet it is becoming more difficult for African countries to access the climate finance they need to adapt to a warming world.
Why is the situation worsening?
First, access to climate finance remains a bureaucratic nightmare with complex application processes. There also needs to be more transparency in fund allocation. The recently established Loss and Damage Fund could assist. It is meant to channel money to countries worst affected by climate change to pay for the damage caused.
Second, the focus on reforming Bretton Woods institutions and development finance institutions is shifting attention away from the obligations developed countries have signed up for. This distracts developing nations from making reforms in trade, taxation and financial regulations that could drive more meaningful results.
Third, there is a lack of liquidity (access to fresh money) needed to propel investment or allow countries to bridge their budget deficits. African countries are forced to juggle paying for healthcare, education and infrastructure development with paying back debt. Some spend more on debt repayments than healthcare.
Increased tax efficiency and domestic savings, such as the savings maintained by pension funds, could be used. This should be the priority while the fight for better international conditions continues.
Fourth, the distinction between development finance and climate finance is becoming an impediment to progress. The conversation should move away from getting African countries to prioritise greenhouse gas emission reductions at the expense of other development priorities. Climate action is under-implemented and underfunded. The focus must be on excessive dependency on aid and rather promote market incentives to encourage the private sector to invest in climate adaptation in Africa.
Banking & Finance
Equity Group Expands Into Southern Africa as It Bets on Africa’s Trade Corridors
FY2025 results show more than half of Equity’s profits now come from regional subsidiaries.
Equity Group targets Angola, Zambia and Mozambique as it expands along Africa’s mineral corridors and deepens regional banking scale.
🧠 Executive Intelligence Overview
As a result of its strong FY2025 performance, Equity Group Holdings is accelerating a major expansion into Southern Africa. The lender is now targeting Angola, Zambia, and Mozambique in a strategic shift that reflects Africa’s evolving trade and mineral corridor economy.
Chief Executive James Mwangi confirmed in a Reuters interview on April 29, 2026, that the group is actively pursuing acquisition opportunities rather than greenfield market entry. This approach signals a deliberate pivot toward established financial institutions in structurally different markets.
Meanwhile, Equity’s strategy is increasingly shaped by Africa’s infrastructure-driven growth corridors, particularly the US-backed Lobito Corridor linking Angola, Zambia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo.
According to the World Bank, African financial systems are becoming more deeply integrated with trade logistics and commodity supply chains, which is reshaping cross-border banking expansion strategies.
🏛️ 1. From Rural Origins to Continental Banking Power
The institution’s current trajectory is anchored in a transformation that began 35 years ago, when Equity operated as a rural building society in central Kenya.
Since then, the lender has evolved into Kenya’s most profitable bank and one of Africa’s fastest-expanding financial groups. This transformation reflects a broader structural shift in African banking, where domestic institutions are increasingly becoming regional platforms.
📊 2. FY2025 Performance Underpins Expansion
Equity’s expansion push is strongly supported by its FY2025 financial results.
- Profit after tax: KSh 75.50 billion (~USD 582 million)
- Annual growth: 55%
- Regional subsidiaries contribution: 51% of total banking profit before tax
This performance highlights a structural shift in earnings away from Kenya toward regional subsidiaries.
In addition, the International Monetary Fund notes that African banks with diversified regional exposure tend to demonstrate stronger resilience during domestic economic cycles, particularly in volatile macroeconomic environments.
🌍 3. DRC Remains the Core Profit Engine
The Democratic Republic of Congo continues to play a central role in Equity’s regional strategy.
The lender is currently the second-largest bank in the country, following acquisitions completed in 2015 and 2020. These transactions helped establish a strong market position in one of Africa’s most underbanked but resource-rich economies.
As a result, the DRC has become Equity’s most important regional earnings hub outside Kenya.
FY2025 performance reflects this dominance:
- Profit: KSh 24.70 billion (~USD 190 million)
- Growth: 58% year-on-year
- Estimated market share: ~24%
Moreover, the World Bank continues to classify the DRC as a frontier financial market with significant long-term inclusion potential despite elevated operational risks.
🚢 4. Lobito Corridor: The Structural Growth Logic
Equity’s expansion strategy is increasingly aligned with the Lobito Corridor, a strategic infrastructure route supported by the United States.
This corridor connects:
- Angola (Atlantic export gateway)
- Zambia (copper belt and mineral transit hub)
- DRC (resource extraction base)
Consequently, banking expansion is no longer being driven by national boundaries but by trade flow systems.
Mwangi emphasized in the Reuters interview that expansion decisions are now guided by customers and trade routes rather than geography alone.
This reflects a broader trend identified by the International Finance Corporation, which highlights the growing importance of infrastructure-linked financial ecosystems in emerging markets.
🇦🇴 🇿🇲 🇲🇿 5. Southern Africa Expansion Targets
Equity is actively pursuing acquisition-led entry into three key Southern African markets.
📍 Angola
Angola represents the most advanced target market. The country serves as a strategic Atlantic export gateway for minerals and energy resources.
📍 Zambia
Zambia plays a critical connector role between the DRC and Mozambique, particularly in copper and mineral logistics.
📍 Mozambique
Mozambique provides access to Indian Ocean trade routes and is expected to become Equity’s sixth non-Kenyan subsidiary.
In addition, Mwangi confirmed ongoing high-level engagement with Mozambique’s leadership, reinforcing the strategic importance of the market.
⚖️ 6. Regulatory and Structural Constraints
Despite strong expansion momentum, regulatory differences across African markets continue to shape entry strategy.
Earlier efforts in Ethiopia were slowed by foreign ownership restrictions limiting stakes in local banks, prompting a strategic shift toward Southern Africa.
As a result, Equity has prioritized markets with clearer acquisition pathways and more flexible regulatory environments.
The Bank for International Settlements notes that regulatory fragmentation remains one of the most significant constraints on cross-border banking expansion in emerging economies.
📡 7. Acquisition-Led Growth Strategy
Unlike traditional expansion models, Equity is increasingly favouring acquisitions over greenfield entry.
This strategy is driven by three operational realities:
- Language and cultural differences in new markets
- High cost of establishing new banking infrastructure
- Need for immediate market scale and deposits
As Mwangi explained, acquiring established institutions allows Equity to scale faster while transforming existing operations into regional platforms.
🌍 8. Competitive Landscape Across Africa
Equity’s expansion is unfolding within a highly competitive African banking environment.
Key competitors include:
- Ecobank (pan-African network)
- UBA (United Bank for Africa)
- State-linked financial institutions
- Regional banks expanding cross-border
The World Bank highlights that Africa’s banking sector remains fragmented, with low credit penetration but increasing exposure to sovereign debt across multiple jurisdictions.
⚠️ 9. Risk Environment
While growth prospects remain strong, Equity’s expansion is exposed to structural risks.
These include:
- Currency volatility across Southern Africa
- Regulatory fragmentation between jurisdictions
- Commodity price sensitivity in mining economies
- Macroeconomic instability and political transitions
Nevertheless, the long-term opportunity remains anchored in Africa’s demographic growth, infrastructure investment, and commodity cycles.
🌐 Conclusion: A Shift to Corridor Banking
Equity Group’s Southern Africa expansion reflects a deeper transformation in African finance.
The banking model is evolving from:
- Country-based expansion
➡️ to - Corridor-based financial ecosystems
In this new structure, banks are increasingly aligning with trade routes, commodity flows, and infrastructure networks rather than national boundaries.
Ultimately, Equity is positioning itself not simply as a regional lender, but as a financial institution embedded within Africa’s evolving economic geography.
Commercial Banking
Inside the DRC Banking Rush: Who Is Entering First
Digital banking is enabling faster, lower-cost entry into fragmented financial environments.
Regional banks are racing into the DRC as Equity, KCB, CRDB and others compete for Africa’s fastest-growing banking frontier.
🧠 Inside the DRC Banking Rush: Who Is Entering First
Unlike earlier phases of African banking growth, which focused on domestic consolidation, the current cycle is defined by cross-border competition for underbanked populations and resource-driven economies.
According to the World Bank, the DRC remains one of the least financially included large economies in the world, with banking penetration still below 20% in many estimates. This structural gap is now attracting regional lenders seeking long-term growth.
At the same time, the International Monetary Fund has identified the country as a frontier economy where financial deepening could significantly accelerate formal economic activity.
👉 The result is a competitive entry race—where timing is now a strategic advantage.
🏦 1. The First Movers: East Africa’s Banking Giants
The earliest and most aggressive entrants into the DRC banking landscape include:
- Equity Group Holdings
- KCB Group
- CRDB Bank
- Bank of Kigali
These institutions are not simply opening branches—they are building regional banking ecosystems that integrate retail, SME, and trade finance services across borders.
For example, Equity Group Holdings has positioned the DRC as a strategic growth pillar within its pan-African model, reflecting a shift from national banking to continental banking platforms.
KCB Group has similarly expanded its regional footprint through subsidiaries and partnerships, leveraging cross-border integration to capture trade flows between East and Central Africa.
👉 These early movers are shaping the competitive structure of the market.
💰 2. Why Early Entry Matters
Early entrants typically benefit from:
- First access to corporate clients
- Stronger brand recognition
- Early deposit base accumulation
- Relationship dominance in SME lending
The International Finance Corporation has consistently emphasized that financial institutions entering underserved markets early tend to establish long-term structural advantages, particularly in environments with low competition density.
👉 In the DRC, being first often means shaping the rules of engagement.
📡 3. Digital First Entry: The New Banking Model
Unlike traditional banking expansion, entry into the DRC is increasingly driven by digital infrastructure rather than physical branches.
Banks are deploying:
- Mobile banking platforms
- Agent banking networks
- Integrated fintech partnerships
This approach reduces operational costs while expanding reach into rural and semi-urban populations.
Institutions such as Equity Group Holdings are leveraging digital ecosystems to scale rapidly across fragmented infrastructure environments.
This aligns with insights from the World Bank, which highlights digital financial services as a critical driver of inclusion in low-infrastructure economies.
👉 Digital entry is now the default expansion strategy.
⛏️ 4. Resource-Linked Banking: The Corporate Entry Layer
Beyond retail banking, corporate banking tied to the DRC’s resource sector is a major entry driver.
The country’s vast reserves of copper, cobalt, and gold create high-value financing opportunities for banks in:
- Trade finance
- Commodity-backed lending
- Mining sector project finance
The International Monetary Fund has repeatedly identified the DRC’s resource sector as a key macroeconomic stabiliser and long-term growth driver.
👉 This makes the DRC not just a retail banking opportunity—but a corporate finance frontier.
⚖️ 5. Competition Structure: A Regional Contest
The DRC banking market is now shaped by regional competition rather than isolated expansion.
Key competitive blocs include:
- Kenyan banking groups
- Tanzanian financial institutions
- Rwandan regional banks
Each is targeting overlapping segments:
- Retail deposits
- SME credit
- Trade finance corridors
At the same time, informal financial systems remain dominant in many regions, meaning formal banks must compete against deeply entrenched cash economies.
📉 6. Risk Environment: Why Entry Is Not Simple
Despite strong opportunity, the DRC remains structurally complex.
Key challenges include:
- Currency volatility and dollarisation
- Weak credit information systems
- Infrastructure gaps in financial services
- Regulatory fragmentation
The Bank for International Settlements notes that frontier markets with fragmented regulation and high volatility tend to experience amplified operational risk during rapid financial expansion cycles.
👉 This makes execution capacity as important as market entry.
🌍 7. The Bigger Picture: Why This Matters Regionally
The DRC banking rush is not an isolated event—it is part of a broader East and Central African financial integration process.
It connects directly to:
- Cross-border banking expansion
- Regional trade corridor financing
- Fintech-enabled financial inclusion
- Currency and liquidity interdependence
👉 The DRC is becoming the central node in regional banking integration.
🚀 Conclusion: A Market Defined by First Movers
The DRC banking rush is not about who enters eventually—it is about who establishes dominance early.
First movers are not just entering a market—they are shaping:
- Customer acquisition patterns
- Financial infrastructure
- Competitive pricing structures
- Regional capital flows
As the World Bank and International Monetary Fund both emphasize in different ways, financial deepening in frontier economies is a long-cycle transformation.
👉 In the DRC, that transformation is already underway—and the entry race has begun.
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